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In previous research, we analysed the effect of technological innovation, understood as absorptive capacity, on exports by using a gravity model of trade for the year 2000 (see Márquez-Ramos and Martínez-Zarzoso, 2009). We found that the effect of technological innovation on trade varies...
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We evaluate whether survey-based indicators produce lower forecast errors for export growth than indicators obtained … with country-specific export compositions. A larger share in raw material or oil exports worsens the accuracy of soft … indicators, we find only weak evidence for the export composition to explain differences in forecast accuracy. …
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