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Forecasting regional labour markets with GVAR models and indicators
Schanne, Norbert - 2010
The development of employment and unemployment in regional labour markets is known to spatially interdependent. Global Vector-Autoregressive (GVAR) models generate a link between the local and the surrounding labour markets and thus might be useful when analysing and forecasting employment and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011574910
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Comparison of tax revenue forecasting models for Turkey
Erdoğdu, Hamza; Yorulmaz, Recep - In: Critical debates in public finance, (pp. 13-24). 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291663
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Theory-coherent forecasting
Giacomini, Raffaella; Ragusa, Giuseppe - In: Journal of econometrics 182 (2014) 1, pp. 145-155
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010497096
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Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors
Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2013
quarterly frequency. We forecast gross domestic product (GDP) for two German states (Free State of Saxony and Baden …. Our results show that we can significantly increase forecast accuracy compared to an autoregressive benchmark model, both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011685344
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Prospects for comprehensive forecasts when assessing the load of railway transport infrastructure
Malovetskaya, Ekaterina; Voskresenskaya, Elena; … - In: Finance, Economics, and Industry for Sustainable …, (pp. 217-225). 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014578112
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Economic growth outlooks in sub-federal development strategies : prospects and constraints : the 54rd ERSA Congress, Saint-Petersburg, Russia, 26- 29 August 2014
Mel'nikova, Larisa - 2014
-federal strategic forecasts with the complex long-term spatial forecast of socio-economic development of Russian economy. The authors of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509824
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Forecasting with Bayesian global vector autoregressive models : a comparison of priors
Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús; Feldkircher, Martin; Huber, Florian - 2013 - This version: November 2013
-GVAR models for the one- and four-quarter ahead forecast horizon for standard macroeconomic variables (real GDP, inflation, the … practically all variables and at both forecast horizons. The comparison of prior elicitation strategies indicates that the use of … finding is confirmed by density forecast measures, for which the predictive ability of the SSVS prior is the best among all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505823
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Inflation and output growth uncertainty in individual survey expectations : Maritta Paloviita; Matti Viren
Paloviita, Maritta; Virén, Matti E. E. - In: Empirica : journal of european economics 41 (2014) 1, pp. 69-81
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010437731
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The COVID-19 pandemic and macroeconomic forecasting : an introduction to the spring 2021 special issue
Galvão, Ana Beatriz C. - In: National Institute economic review : journal of the … 256 (2021), pp. 16-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012593666
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Nowcasting "true" monthly U.S. GDP during the pandemic
Koop, Gary; McIntyre, Stuart; Mitchell, James; Poon, Aubrey - In: National Institute economic review : journal of the … 256 (2021), pp. 44-70
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012593671