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This paper assesses the role of financial variables in real economic fluctuations, in view of analysing the link between financial cycles and business cycles at the global level. A Global VAR modelling approach, which has been proved suitable for modelling country or regional linkages, is used...
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Cholesky multivariate stochastic volatility model. It establishes that systematically different dynamic restrictions are … divergent when volatility clusters idiosyncratically. It is illustrated that this property is important for empirical … multivariate stochastic volatility model is proposed as a robust alternative. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424283
This paper analyses the impact of oil both price shocks on the GDP and prices in the Spanish economy and its seventeen NUTS-2 regions. The Qu and Perron (2007) and the Bai and Perron (1998, 2003a and 2003b) methods identify different periods across the sample. Evidence in favour of a diminishing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011575575
The literature has widely discussed the role of financial and economic uncertainty shocks for the macroeconomy. However, it has turned out to be difficult to isolate these shocks from financial market indicators and uncertainty proxies because any identifying restriction on their response...
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This paper sets out a comprehensive framework to identify regional business cycles within Spain and analyses their stylised features and the degree of synchronization present among them and the Spanish economy. We show that the regional cycles are quite heterogeneous although they display some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555075