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The literature has widely discussed the role of financial and economic uncertainty shocks for the macroeconomy. However, it has turned out to be difficult to isolate these shocks from financial market indicators and uncertainty proxies because any identifying restriction on their response...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429635
This paper assesses the role of financial variables in real economic fluctuations, in view of analysing the link between financial cycles and business cycles at the global level. A Global VAR modelling approach, which has been proved suitable for modelling country or regional linkages, is used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476350
shift. While some have argued that the shift was caused by a supply shock due to labour market liberalization, others have … the Beveridge curve in Austria. We find empirical evidence to confirm that the increase in the unemployment rate in … Austria after 2011 can indeed be attributed to a supplyside shock. But, contrary to other research, our analysis shows that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012285972
partners in the marriage market and switch between employment and unemployment in the labor market. In the marriage market …, individuals match assortatively on education and draw a match-specific shock component representing mutual affection. Divorces can … labor market divorces triggered by unemployment has decreased significantly. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304704
The Spanish regions are facing a severe recession caused by the international financial crisis that has overlapped with the correction that had been recorded in the property market, which has led to a sharp drop in economic activity and a rapid destruction process employment. In these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555811
On the basis of the suggestions of Friedman (1969, 1993) and Moore (1965) and considering the framework proposed by Balke and Wynne (1994, 1995), this paper evaluates whether recoveries growth depends on the characteristics of prior recessions (depth, steepness and duration) in the case of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477197
We estimate a logit mixture vector autoregressive model describing monetary policy transmission in the euro area over the period 2003Q1-2019Q4 with a special emphasis on credit conditions. With the help of this model, monetary policy transmission can be described as mixture of two states (e.g.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013328355
This study represents a first attempt to empirically analyze the role of firm heterogeneity in regional business cycle behaviour. Working with monthly Italy's firms data and estimating a random effects ordered probit model, we first document sizable asymmetries in Northern and Southern firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011522570
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