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positive at the onset of the episode, through promising higher inflation rates in future periods. We embed our theory into a … commiting to keep interest rates low at the exit of the liquidity trap, to stabilize inflation today. 2. From debt … consolidated budget) monetary policy becomes subservient to fiscal policy, giving rise to more volatile inflation, output and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304687
We estimate the effects of monetary policy on price-setting behavior in administrative micro data underlying the German producer price index. After expansionary monetary policy, the increase in the frequency of price change is economically small, the average absolute size across all price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421507
published data. The underlying effect rests on overstated inflation estimates due to imputed prices for disappearing goods and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012437529
inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint …, we show that an inflation bias as well as a deflationary bias exist as a steady-state outcome. We assess the predictions … of this model using unique individual-level inflation expectations data across nine countries that allow for a direct …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012317310
inflation volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012286210
The present paper studies the effect of monetary policy on inflation and output within a New Keynesian model with … transmission in two ways. First, the impact response of inflation and output to monetary policy shocks is less pronounced since the … response of expectations under EBL is muted. Second, the response of inflation is more persistent, since the interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013330596
This work investigates effects of conventional monetary policy and central bank information shocks from monetary policy announcements on the U.S. economy. We identify the surprises caused by changes in target rate and central bank’s private information embedded in high frequency exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304714
We explain the role of the Phillips Curve at the ECB in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012435565
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424279
Central bank announcements have strong effects on interest rates, but small or even counterintuitive effects on economic expectations. Based on tick-by-tick futures prices on bonds and stock prices, I confirm these seemingly puzzling results for the euro area and provide evidence that they are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265893