Based on an original data set with information of a representative portfolio of among the largest 304 Research and Development (R&D) investing companies over the 20032006 period, the overall analysis, except in a few cases, gives some robust evidence of a positive relationship between top...

We assess the role played by exchange rates in buffering or amplifying the propagation of shocks across international equity markets. Using copula functions we model the joint dependence between exchange rates and two global equity markets and, from a copula framework, we obtain the conditional...

The European Central Bank (ECB), as part of its forward-looking strategy, needs high-quality financial market statistical indicators as a means to facilitate evidence-based and sound decision-making. Such indicators include timely market intelligence and information to gauge investors'...

The aim of this paper is to study the distribution of portfolio returns across portfolios and for given asset returns. We focus on the most common type of investment considering portfolios whose weights are non-negative and sum up to 1. We provide algorithms and formulas from computational...

The Great Recession and the subsequent period of subdued GDP growth in most advanced economies have highlighted the need for macroeconomic forecasters to account for sudden and deep recessions, periods of higher macroeconomic volatility, and fluctuations in trend GDP growth. In this paper, we...