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Efficient and robust inference of models with occasionally binding constraints
Giovannini, Massimo; Pfeiffer, Philipp Ludwig; Ratto, Marco - 2021
This paper proposes a piecewise-linear Kalman filter (PKF) to estimate DSGE models with occasionally binding constraints. This method expands the set of models suitable for nonlinear estimation. It straightforwardly handles missing data, non-singularity (more shocks than observed time series),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012501220
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The simpler, the better : measuring financial conditions for monetary policy and financial stability
Arrigoni, Simone; Bobasu, Alina; Venditti, Fabrizio - 2021
In this paper we assess the merits of financial condition indices constructed using simple averages versus a more sophisticated alternative that uses factor models with time varying parameters. Our analysis is based on data for 18 advanced and emerging economies at a monthly frequency covering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012653846
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Financial frictions and the real economy
Pietrunti, Mario - 2017
This paper investigates in a non-linear setting the impact on the real economy of frictions stemming from the financial sector. We develop a medium scale DSGE model with a banking sector where an occasionally binding constraint on banks' capital induces a relevant non-linearity. The model -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976236
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Implications of macroeconomic volatility in the Euro area
Hauzenberger, Niko; Böck, Maximilian; Pfarrhofer, Michael - 2018
assess the effects of an uncertainty shock in the Euro area. This allows us to treat macroeconomic uncertainty as a latent … consequences jointly, and most are based on single country models. We analyze the special case of a shock restricted to the Euro … for all countries over a period of roughly a year following an uncertainty shock. Moreover, equity prices, short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978764
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Real and financial cycles in EU countries : stylised facts and modelling implications
Rünstler, Gerhard (contributor);  … - European System of Central Banks / Working Group on … - 2018
This paper studies the cyclical properties of real GDP, house prices, credit, and nominal liquid financial assets in 17 EU countries, by applying several methods to extract cycles. The estimates confirm earlier findings of large medium-term cycles in credit volumes and house prices. GDP appears...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011779865
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Inflation responses to recent shocks : do G7 countries behave differently
Vogel, Lukas; Rusticelli, Elena; Richardson, Pete; … - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826529
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The Euro Area's pandemic recession : a DSGE interpretation
Cardani, Roberta; Croitorov, Olga; Giovannini, Massimo; … - 2021
differs strongly from other crises in recent history. We analyse the short-term economic effects of the COVID-19 shock through … the COVID shock and the containment and stabilisation policies. Shock decompositions with the estimated model show the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012650032
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Semi-structural VAR and unobserved components models to estimate finance-neutral output gap
Kátay, Gábor; Kerdelhué, Lisa; Lequien, Matthieu - 2020
The paper assesses the impact of adding information on financial cycles on the output gap estimates for eight advanced economies using two unobserved components models: a reduced form extended Hodrick-Prescott filter, and a standard semi-structural unobserved components model. To complement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012320331
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Short-term gain or pain? : a DSGE model-based analysis of the short-term effects of structural reforms in labour and product markets
Cacciatore, Matteo; Duval, Romain; Fiori, Giuseppe - 2012
This paper explores the short-term effects of labour and product market reforms through a dynamic general equilibrium model that features endogenous producer entry, equilibrium unemployment and costly job creation and destruction. Unlike in existing work, the link between labour and product...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690169
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Adjustment dynamics and business cycle heterogeneity in the EMU : evidence from estimated DSGE models
Giovannini, Massimo; Hohberger, Stefan; Ratto, Marco; … - 2018
The paper reviews adjustment dynamics in the EMU on the basis of estimated DSGE models for four large EA Member States (DE, FR, IT, ES). We compare the response of the four countries to identical shocks and find a particularly strong response of employment and wages in ES, a high sensitivity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012054993