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Exchange rates have raised the ire of economists for more than 20 years. The problem is that few, if any, exchange rate models are known to systematically beat a naive random walk in out of sample forecasts. Engel and West (2005) show that these failures can be explained by the standard-present...
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policies of an actual central bank, the Bank of Canada. Finally, the paper considers the role of fiscal policy in an open …
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