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-cycle framework how individuals respond to recessions. Our focus is on the sharp increase in savings rates that have been observed in … the current and recent recessions. We show empirically that these saving spikes were short-lived and common to all working … age groups. We then study life-cycle models in which recessions involve one or more of: (i) an aggregate permanent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009530241
This paper analyses the dynamics of personal insolvencies in Germany and the UK, focusing on the recent recession. These countries are particularly interesting as they are both member countries of the European Union, yet have completely different approaches to deal with overindebted individuals....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011420671
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This paper lays down a model where dispersed information generates booms and busts in economic activity. Boom-and-bust dynamics start when firms are initially over-optimistic about demand due to an aggregate noise shock in their signals. Consequently, they over-produce, which generates a boom....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010223138
Recessions lead to short-term job loss, lower levels of happiness and decreasing income levels. There is growing … disturbing long-run effect of recessions: young people who leave school in the midst of recessions are significantly more likely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010386014
Two separate narratives have emerged in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis. One speaks of private financial excess and the key role of the banking system in leveraging and deleveraging the economy. The other emphasizes the public sector balance sheet over the private and worries about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199757
The slow recovery following the 2008/2009 recession has led to renewed interest in the question whether deep recessions … to large recessions. The test has more power than conventional unit root tests. We find that positive and negative shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340611
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