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This paper examines the integration of stock markets in Germany, France, Netherlands, Ireland and UK over the January 1973- August 2008 period at the aggregate market and industry level considering the following industries: basic materials, consumer goods, industrials, consumer services, health...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387022
This paper examines financial spillovers between the four largest equity markets (by market capitalization) in the GCC region using a VAR-GARCH (1,1) framework that sheds light on interdependence as well as the effects of the 2014 oil crisis. Since the UAE is a federation including two stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026436
We explore the impact of mortgage securitization on the international diversification of macroeconomic risk. By making mortgage-related risks internationally tradeable, securitization contributes considerably to better international consumption risk sharing: we find that countries with the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003806732
economies (EMEs) on configurations between the US dollar, the euro and the yen. Given the difficulty that fixed or managed US … have a statistically but also an economically significant impact on the euro, and to a lesser extent the yen against the US … the appreciation of the euro against the US dollar in recent years. Interestingly, EME policy-makers appear to have become …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003825947
, Norwegian krone, Swedish krona, Swiss franc, and euro exchange rates (against the US dollar) during the period 1994-2003. Using … formal decision to proceed with the euro was made in December 1996 and at the time of the actual introduction of the euro in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343243
We model pre-euro Spanish monetary policy and use our findings to assess the compatibility of the interest rates set by … strategy tailored to its own domestic fundamentals; and by abolishing it to join the euro she has paid a cost in the form of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003766104
econometrically estimated in continuous time with Euro/Dollar data and examined for the possible presence of chaotic motion. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011774
All explorations of the future of the Euro show serious risks for its survival in the present form. The road map of the … Five EU Presidents presented in 2015 is far from sufficient to reduce the risks of the Euro zone falling apart by Brexit … risk of the Euro‐area falling apart in a chaotic way, through further divergence in labor productivity, through new Banking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582732
We analyze the international transmission of financial stress and its effects on economic activity. We construct country specific monthly financial stress indexes (FSI) using dynamic factor models from 1970 until 2012 for 20 countries. We show that there is a strong co-movement of the FSI during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009761846
The objective of this paper is to propose an early warning system that can predict the likelihood of the occurrence of financial stress events within a given period of time. To achieve this goal, the signal extraction approach proposed by Kaminsky, Lizondo and Reinhart (1998) is used to monitor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010400740