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Forecasts of inflation in the United States since the mid eighties have had smaller errors than in the past, but those conditional on commonly used variables cannot consistently beat the ones from univariate models. This paper shows through simple modifications to the classical monetary model...
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residuals of our pooled estimated modelare stationary. This indicates that on a pooled time series levelthere is cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299983
We propose in this paper a likelihood-based framework forcointegration analysis in panels of a fixed number of vector errorcorrection models. Maximum likelihood estimators of thecointegrating vectors are constructed using iterated GeneralizedMethod of Moments estimators. Using these estimators...
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Although the link between oil prices and dollar exchange rates has been frequently analyzed, a clear distinction between prices and nominal exchange rate dynamics and a clarification of the issue of causality has not been provided. In addition, previous studies have mostly neglected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771139
den Dollar-Yen Wechselkurs langfristig beeinflussen. Die empirische Strategie basiert auf einer Neuschätzung des …/Dollar Wechselkurs und Fundamentalfaktoren bei? 2.) Führen Interventionen zu einer schnelleren Anpassung des Wechselkurses an …, dass vor allem koordinierte Interventionen den Dollar/Yen Wechselkurs langfristig stabilisieren. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009779186
This paper examines the significance of different fundamental regimes by applying various monetary models of the exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010207061
national stochastic trends. We find evidence for a cross-section cointegration relationship between the exchange rates and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010209430