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rate, unemployment and inflation in West Germany from the early 1960s up to 2004 using a multivariate co-integration …New-Keynesian macroeconomic models typically assume that any long-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment is … data a strong negative correlation between the trend components of inflation and unemployment. We show that this finding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426365
Persistently high unemployment rates in Germany have led to a long-running controversy on the causes of the … unemployment problem. This paper aims to re­view the contribution of Keynesian and monetarist theories to this controversy and … explores empirically their implications for the explanation of high un­em­ploy­ment in Germany using a structural vector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474695
In this paper we have examined the unemployment rate series in Turkey by using long memory models and in particular … employing fractionally integrated techniques. Our results suggest that unemployment in Turkey is highly persistent, with orders …. We found evidence in favor of mean reversion in the case of female unemployment and this happens for all the groups of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735904
Dieser Aufsatz untersucht die Hypothese, dass der Grad an Arbeitsmarkthysterese in Folge einer Rezession von der Reaktion der Geldpolitik abhängt. Der Hysteresegrad wird in der empirischen Untersuchung durch die geldpolitische Reaktion und Standardvariablen für Arbeitsmarktinstitutionen in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003772351
This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that hysteresis had on its development. Using the … is applied here using explicit exogenous variables. In order to test for hysteresis, the dependence of the Nairu on … actual unemployment and long-term unemployment is estimated and found to be significant for the Euro Area and Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003744523
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602776
This paper deals with a critical assessment and a reestimation of the "non-accelerating in ation rate of unemployment … occurrence of shocks and hysteresis effects, the (mis-)measurement of important variables such as in ation expectations …, cointegration issues, and a time variability of the NAIRU and its confidence intervals. Despite many serious caveats a new attempt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448601
labor market and skill obsolescence from long-term unemployment. The model can account for key features of the Great … aggregate demand raises unemployment and the training costs associated with skill obsolescence. Lower employment hinders … contractionary effect on output. The temporary growth slowdown translates into output hysteresis (permanently lower output and labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269664
Extending the data set used in Beyer (2009) from 2007 to 2017, we estimate I(1) and I(2) money demand models for euro area M3. We nd that the elasticities in the money demand and the real wealth relations identi ed previously in Beyer (2009) have remained remarkably stable throughout the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012150128
In this paper we have examined the unemployment rate series in Turkey by using long memory models and in particular … employing fractionally integrated techniques. Our results suggest that unemployment in Turkey is highly persistent, with orders …. We found evidence in favor of mean reversion in the case of female unemployment and this happens for all the groups of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119645