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individuals and households. -- Great Moderation ; inventories ; monetary policy ; volatility …We review evidence on the Great Moderation together with evidence about volatility trends at the micro level to develop … a potential explanation for the decline in aggregate volatility since the 1980s and its consequences. The key elements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003781571
materials, for both production as well as for inventories. The more detailed treatment of inventory holdings offers new insights … and they explain the volatility of many variables. We reject the hypothesis of better inventory management and improved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010208560
"We review evidence on the Great Moderation in conjunction with evidence about volatility trends at the micro level. We … combine the two types of evidence to develop a tentative story for important components of the aggregate volatility decline … and its consequences. The key ingredients are declines in firm-level volatility and aggregate volatility -- most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003725078
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011484704
decreases output volatility relative to sales volatility, lower levels of inventories actually increases sales volatility … and inventory facts well. Under the stockout constraint, inventories and demand are complements in generating sales, and … hence the optimal level of inventories increases in expected demand. We also show that the inventory to sales ratio is both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009744610
We identify an inflationary technology news shock as the leading source of business cycle variations for the postwar U.S. economy. This shock acts like a demand shock: it induces strong positive comovement in real quantities - GDP, consumption, investment - and weak positive comovement between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011930326
Is time-varying firm-level uncertainty a major cause or amplifier of the business cycle? This paper investigates this question in the context of a heterogeneousfirm RBC model with persistent firm-level productivity shocks and lumpy capital adjustment, where cyclical changes in uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857672
Using a unique German firm-level data set, this paper is the first to jointly study the cyclical properties of the cross-sections of firm-level real value added and Solow residual innovations, as well as capital and employment adjustment. We find two new business cycle facts: 1) The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857682
Using a German firm-level data set, this paper is the first to jointly study the cyclical properties of the cross-sections of firm-level real value added and Solow residual innovations, as well as capital and employment adjustment. We find two new business cycle facts: 1) The cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003888063
Is time-varying firm-level uncertainty a major cause or amplifier of the business cycle? This paper investigates this question in the context of a heterogeneous-firm RBC model with persistent firm-level productivity shocks and lumpy capital adjustment, where cyclical changes in uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898815