Showing 1 - 10 of 4,158
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009504190
This paper considers Bayesian nonparametric estimation of conditional densities by countable mixtures of location-scale densities with covariate dependent mixing probabilities. The mixing probabilities are modeled in two ways. First, we consider finite covariate dependent mixture models, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009685479
We propose a novel method to estimate risk-neutral quantiles that uses sorting to minimize an objective function given by a convex combination of call and put option prices over the range of available strike prices. We demonstrate that this new method significantly improves the accuracy of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236004
We introduce an ensemble learning method based on Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) for predicting conditional expected stock returns given stock-level and macro-economic information. Our ensemble learning approach significantly reduces the computational complexity inherent in GPR inference and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236083
In this paper we introduce the Extended Method of Moments (XMM) estimator. This estimator accommodates a more general set of moment restrictions than the standard Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimator. More specifically, the XMM differs from the GMM in that it can handle not only uniform...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973066
In this paper we compare the in-sample fit and out-of-sample forecasting performance of no-arbitrage quadratic and essentially affine term structure models, as well as the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model. In total eleven model variants are evaluated, comprising five quadratic, four affine and two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973519
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008663388
(High dimensional) time series which reveal nonstationary and possibly periodic behavior occur frequently in many fields of science. In this article, we separate the modeling of high dimensional time series to time propagation of low dimensional time series and high dimensional time invariant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008663392
This chapter deals with nonparametric estimation of the risk neutral density. We present three different approaches which do not require parametric functional assumptions on the underlying asset price dynamics nor on the distributional form of the risk neutral density. The first estimator is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003953034
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191274