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have been shown to improve forecasting models for various economic and financial series. In the aftermath of the global … financial crisis, modeling and forecasting mortgage demand and subsequent approvals have become a central issue in the banking … variables - with their extensions utilizing online searches on Google. We find that the extended models better explain the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030090
We suggest the use of an Internet job-search indicator (the Google Index, GI) as the best leading indicator to predict … the US unemployment rate. We perform a deep out-of-sample forecasting comparison analyzing many models that adopt both our … in comparison with the Survey of Professional Forecasters. -- Google Econometrics ; Forecast Comparison ; Keyword Search …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008702857
This paper deals with the estimation of employment equations for Germany, which are to be used for forecasting and …, however, is affected by German reunification and relative factor prices no longer play a significant role. The forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003744528
This study introduces a monthly coincident indicator for consumption in Germany based on Google Trends data on web …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011488565
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011894733
pools, and use it to investigate the relative forecasting performance of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414783
Although many programs redistribute resources in the U.S., two program were central in providing a safety net for those facing hardship during the Great Recession: the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), which grew to 47.7 million people in January 2013 - or 15.1 percent of all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222230
In this study, we document the effect of Food Stamp access on adult health care utilization. While Food Stamps is one of the largest safety net programs in the U.S. today, the universal nature of the program across geographic areas and over time limits the potential for quasi-experimental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011821446
whether Google Trends provides significant forecasting improvements over models without search data. Second, we assess whether … a high-frequency variable (weekly Google Trends) is more useful for accurate forecasting than a low-frequency variable …In this paper, we examine the usefulness of Google Trends data in predicting monthly tourist arrivals and overnight …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012002651
Im Zentrum dieser Dissertation steht das Beschreiben und Erklären von Konjunkturdynamiken. Motiviert durch den außerordentlich starken wirtschaftlichen Einbruch in 2008/2009 betont die Arbeit dabei die Wichtigkeit der Nutzung von nichtlinearen Modellansätzen. Die Dissertation kann als Beitrag...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154125