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Did US consumers 'save for a rainy day' before the Great Recession?
Anundsen, André Kallåk; Nymoen, Ragnar - 2015
the period 1980q1-2011q4. That is, income is more often found to predict consumption and saving than the converse. Our … consumption and by exploring the direction of Granger causality between the two series. We also give evidence that house price … changes played a role in the US income and consumption dynamics, before, during and after the Great Recession. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010518800
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Did US consumers 'save for a rainy day' before the Great Recession?
Anundsen, André Kallåk; Nymore, Ragnar - 2015 - This version May 8, 2015
the period 1980q1-2011q4. That is, income is more often found to predict consumption and saving than the converse. Our … consumption and by exploring the direction of Granger causality between the two series. We also give evidence that house price … changes played a role in the US income and consumption dynamics, before, during and after the Great Recession. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010530531
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Multicointegration in US consumption data
Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2003
The present paper tests for the existence of multicointegration between real per capita private consumption expenditure … income and consumption expenditure on the one hand, and the stock of consumers' wealth, which can be considered as cumulative … multicointegrating relations and find supporting evidence for the existence of multicointegration in US consumption data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439261
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Automatic identification of general vector error correction models
Arbués, Ignacio; Ledo, Ramiro; Matilla-García, Mariano - 2016
There are a number of econometrics tools to deal with the different type of situations in which cointegration can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499608
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Economic regime shifts and the US subprime bubble
Anundsen, André Kallåk - 2013
of financing. -- cointegration ; regime shifts ; US housing bubble ; subprime lending ; bubble indicator …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009704286
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Does the turbulence of the stock market terrify consumers? : evidence from a panel of U.S. States using pooled mean group estimation
Ebadi, Esmaeil - 2021
This paper elucidates the influence of stock market volatility on U.S. consumption using pooled mean group (PMG … market volatility on consumption are robust to the lag order, lag selection criteria, and outliers compared with the mean … group (MG) and the dynamic fixed effect (DFE) methods. I find that stock market volatility reduces total consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661246
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Novas evidências empíricas sobre a dinâmica trimestral do consumo agregado das famílias brasileiras no período 1995-2009
Schettini, Bernardo Patta; Santos, Claudio Hamilton … - 2011
This paper presents new econometric specifications for the quarterly behavior of the aggregate consumption of Brazilian … (approximated) private income elasticity close to 0.4 and credit and interest (semi) elasticities of household consumption close to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009231389
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Revisiting the long memory dynamics of implied-realized volatility relation : a new evidence from wavelet band spectrum regression
Barunik, Jozef; Barunikova, Michaela - 2015
This paper revisits the fractional co-integrating relationship between ex-ante implied volatility and ex-post realized volatility. Previous studies on stock index options have found biases and inefficiencies in implied volatility as a forecast of future volatility. It is argued that the concept...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011280711
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Economic policy uncertainty : persistence and cross-country linkages
Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; … - 2020
countries is examined applying a fractional cointegration method which tests for the possible existence of a long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219127
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A simple test for causality in volatility
Chang, Chia-Lin; McAleer, Michael - 2016
An early development in testing for causality (technically, Granger non-causality) in the conditional variance (or volatility) associated with financial returns, was the portmanteau statistic for non-causality in variance of Cheng and Ng (1996). A subsequent development was the Lagrange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011556246