Showing 81 - 90 of 105,341
The empirical literature of stock market predictability mainly suffers from model uncertainty and parameter instability. To meet this challenge, we propose a novel approach that combines the documented merits of diffusion indices, regime-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180543
solved by considering heteroscedasticity of the structural volatility innovations, and estimation takes place in an …Information flows across international financial markets typically occur within hours, making volatility spillover … appear contemporaneous in daily data. Such simultaneous transmission of variances is featured by the stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003727720
The present study addresses the economic interpretation of stock market volatility. We argue that its character is … volatility. This exploits the revealed reaction of investors to gauge the degree of information and uncertainty ascribed to … volatility. We estimate simultaneous timevarying coefficient models, using data of US and further stock markets. We find the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009551892
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010360081
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010239958
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482972
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001985899
This paper elucidates the influence of stock market volatility on U.S. consumption using pooled mean group (PMG …) estimation of 46 states over the period from 1998 to 2017. The findings confirm that the PMG estimates of the effect of stock … market volatility on consumption are robust to the lag order, lag selection criteria, and outliers compared with the mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661246
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013424729
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003651581