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This paper contrasts empirically four leading models of inflation dynamics - the accelerationist Phillips curve (APC), the new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC), the hybrid Phillips curve (HPC), and the sticky information Phillips curve (SIPC). We employ an encompassing Phillips curve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012061223
The recently observed disconnect between inflation and economic activity can be explained by the interplay between the zero lower bound (ZLB) and the costs of external financing. In normal times, credit spreads and the nominal interest rate balance out; factor costs dominate firms' marginal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012432969
A Phillips Curve (PC) framework is utilized to study the challenging post-1985 disinflation process in Israel. The estimated PC is stable and has forecasting power. Based on endogenous structural break tests we find that actual and expected inflation are co-breaking. We argue that the step-like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544982
einem DSGE-Modell, dass der Nachfragekanal den Angebotskanal eines Unsicherheitsschocks der Inflationserwartung dominiert. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012308599
Inflation expectations are key to economic activity, and in the current economic climate of a heated labor market, they are central to the policy debate. At the same time, a growing literature on inattention suggests that individuals, and therefore individual behavior, may not be sensitive to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012135707
This paper examines the theory of the Phillips curve, focusing on the distinction between "formation" of inflation … expectations and "incorporation" of inflation expectations. Phillips curve theory has largely focused on the former. Explaining the … Phillips curve by reference to expectation formation keeps Phillips curve theory in the policy orbit of natural rate thinking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009530400
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191432
A regime shift towards increased inflation expectations is credited with jumpstarting the recovery from the Great Depression in the United States. Germany experienced a recovery as fast and strong in the 1930s. What role did inflation expectations play at the start of this remarkable economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159651
A.W.H. Phillips is little known to the economics profession today, except at the creator of the Phillips curve. Bollard's engaging biography tells the story of a provincial New Zealander and practical engineer, who emerges as a hero in World War II, and plots a spectacular rise from 3rd class...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011610247
How does competition affect information acquisition of firms and thus the response of inflation and output to monetary policy shocks? This paper addresses these questions in a new dynamic general equilibrium model with both dynamic rational inattention and oligopolistic competition. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012200269