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In this short note, we use data from different elections in the German state of North-Rhine Westphalia between 1975 and … 2010 to show that the social democrats generally profit from higher voter turnout at the expense of the conservatives. We … deal with the endogeneity of voter turnout by using election day rain as an instrumental variable. Our particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010501266
, we study how the host country's turnout affects expatriates' electoral participation in the 2017 Chilean Presidential … election. We focus on the 2014 European Parliament election turnout in the district of the Chilean's geocoded residence and … point increase in the host country's turnout decreases the electoral participation of Chilean expatriates by nearly 1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012650135
The Tax Cut and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA) made significant changes to corporate and personal federal income taxation, including limiting the SALT (state and local property, income and sales taxes) deductibility to $10,000. States with high SALT tend to vote Democratic. This paper estimates the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011997640
no impact on aggregate turnout. The point estimates are precise enough to rule out even moderately sized effects. By … regression discontinuity design with millions of observations suggests that advertising's impact on elections is largely due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434475
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012182160
We analyze the impact of the quality of candidates running for a mayor position on turnout using a large data set on … Italian municipal elections held from 1993 to 2011. We firstly estimate a municipal fixed effects model and show that an … increase in the average quality of candidates competing at the electoral race produces a positive impact on turnout. To handle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344923
candidates on the ballot affects the satisfaction and turnout of voters in low-profile elections in which most candidates are … experimental exit-poll of voters at local elections in two German states in 2014 in which respondents faced a hypothetical election … translates directly into a greater willingness to take part in the hypothetical election (“turnout”), especially for individuals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011483220
One prediction of the calculus of voting is that electoral closeness positively affects turnout via a higher … probability of one vote being decisive. I test this theory with data on all mayoral elections in the German state of Bavaria … between 1946 and 2009. Importantly, I use constitutionally prescribed two-round elections to measure electoral closeness and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496895
Does voting have downstream consequences for turnout and political preferences? While research initially showed strong … voting eligibility on subsequent turnout and political preferences using rich panel data from the UK. Exploiting the … eligibility cut-off for national elections within a regression discontinuity design, we document a short-run increase in party …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517154
We develop a model of political competition with endogenous turnout and endogenous platforms. Parties trade off …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499135