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I provide evidence that risks in macroeconomic fundamentals contain valuable information about bond risk premia. I … unemployment rate. In addition, factors provide information about bond risk premia variation that is largely unrelated to that … extract factors from a set of quantile-based risk measures estimated for US macroeconomic variables and document that they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478516
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011587625
-based ex-post measures of macroeconomic risk. Inflation uncertainty is an important driver of bond premia, but the relation …This paper examines the relation between variations in perceived inflation uncertainty and bond premia. Using the … forecasts appears a much less important driver of bond premia. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010441139
risk factors. Risk factor correlation increases when investor sentiment worsens. This suggests that corporate bond … investors change their perception of risk factors, which results in higher risk factor correlation and finally higher bond … is most needed. We examine bond correlation using a broad sample of US corporate bonds. We find bond correlation to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009777926
"Systematic Downside Risk" (SDR) is defined to characterize this asymmetry in the comovement of betas. This indicator negatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442899
Equilibrium bond-pricing models rely on inflation being bad news for future growth to generate upward-sloping nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864574
Researchers and practitioners employ a variety of time-series processes to forecast betas, using either short-memory models or implicitly imposing infinite memory. We find that both approaches are inadequate: beta factors show consistent long-memory properties. For the vast majority of stocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012105362
very important for the risk-return characteristics of the resulting portfolios and their sensitivities to common risk … design elements of low-beta strategies too. If smaller firms are excluded, risk-adjusted returns of low-beta strategies can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011553310
exposure to systematic mispricing can bias tests of risk-return tradeoffs. Controlling for systematic mispricing, we recover … robust positive risk-return relations for many cross-sectional risk proxies, including low-risk and distress anomalies. We … arising from empirical failures of standard pricing models, and show empirical risk-return relations supporting rational …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388392
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010505306