This paper proposes Spillover Persistence as a measure for financial fragility. The volatility paradox predicts that … fragility builds up when volatility is low, which challenges existing measures. Spillover Persistence tackles this challenge by …. Variation in financial constraints connects Spillover Persistence to fragility. The results are consistent with the volatility …

of housing adjustment. In the time-series dimension, the model accounts for the procyclicality and volatility of housing … following question: what are the consequences for aggregate volatility of an increase in household income and a decrease in …. Quantitatively, this model can explain: (1) 45 percent of the reduction in the volatility of household investment; (2) the decline in …

reflect information-driven and noise-induced volatilities. We find that all volatility components reveal distinct dynamics and … significantly declines thereafter. Moreover, news-affected responses in all volatility components are influenced by order flow … imbalances. -- Efficient Return ; Macroeconomic Announcements ; Microstructure Noise ; Informational Volatility …

reflect information-driven and noise-induced volatilities.We find that all volatility components reveal distinct dynamics and … significantly declines thereafter. Moreover, news-affected responses in all volatility components are influenced by order flow … imbalances. -- effcient return ; macroeconomic announcements ; microstructure noise ; informational volatility …

reflect information-driven and noise-induced volatilities. We find that all volatility components reveal distinct dynamics and … significantly declines thereafter. Moreover, news-affected responses in all volatility components are influenced by order flow … imbalances. -- efficient return ; macroeconomic announcements ; microstructure noise ; informational volatility …

allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a … provide a statistical approach to estimate the volatility of these factors. The efficacy of this approach relative to the use … of models based on squared returns is demonstrated for forecasts of the market volatility and a portfolio allocation …