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The demographic transition can affect the equilibrium real interest rate through three channels. An increase in longevity - or expectations thereof - puts downward pressure on the real interest rate, as agents build up their savings in anticipation of a longer retirement period. A reduction in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439850
accountability of the ECB with some other central banks (Bank of Canada, Bank of Japan, Bank of England and the Federal Reserve … Japan, Bank of England und Federal Reserve System). Im zweiten Teil stellen wir eine Theorie über die Rechenschaftspflicht … Geldpolitik und die Frage, wer die endgültige Verantwortung für die Geldpolitik trägt. Das Papier zeigt auf, dass die …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011418852
Japan has experienced stagnation, deflation, and low interest rates for decades. It is caught in a liquidity trap. This … paper examines Japan’s liquidity trap in light of the structure and performance of the country’s economy since the onset of … understanding Japan’s liquidity trap but also for formulating and implementing policies that can overcome the liquidity trap and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011453035
Both Japan and parts of the European Monetary Union have experienced boom and bust in stock and real estate markets … public debt and monetary policy in the context of crisis. It is shown for Japan that the attempts to maintain regional … expansion. Econometric estimations show that in Japan regional redistribution of funds has ensured homogeneous living conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476067
The world economy has lost momentum in the beginning of this year, although partly due to special factors. We have reduced our forecast for global growth in both 2018 and 2019 by 0.2 percentage points. In the advanced economies capacity utilization will continue to increase, supporting an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060566
The world economy is currently expanding strongly with upward momentum in almost every major economy. Global activity is set to expand by 3.8 percent, 0.1 percentage point above our September forecast and the strongest figure since 2011. We have also slightly revised up, to 3.9 percent, our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060682
In the middle of 2017, the world economy is experiencing robust growth. Especially in the advanced economies economic sentiment is upbeat, despite considerable economic policy uncertainty. We have increased our forecast for global GDP growth—on PPP basis—by 0.1 percentage points both in 2017...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060786
policy stimulus, while a competitive valuation of currencies supports growth in Europe and Japan. In the emerging countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060791
World economic growth has picked up from the sluggish pace registered at the start of the year. We expect global growth at PPP exchange rates to accelerate to 3.5 and 3.6 percent in 2017 and 2018, respectively, up from 3.1 percent this year. Growth in advanced economies will continue at a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012061456
Global growth slowed in 2015. While we forecast the world economy to gradually gain momentum over the coming two years, the upturn is expected to be slow. PPP-weighted global GDP is expected to increase by 3.1 per cent this year followed by 3.4 and 3.8 per cent in 2016 and 2017, respectively....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012061563