We apply classical econometric method to characterize the dynamic behavior of the quarter-on-quarter inflation over the … inflation series and as well as for the consumer price inflation at representative product groups level, taking into account the … influence of structural breaks in the mean of inflation on the level of persistence. We find strong evidence for a break in the …

The correlation between persistent changes in the markup in one sector of an economy and the inflation rate is …. We find that the correlation is in general positive under an exogenous money growth rule as well as under an inflation … targeting rule. That is, a decrease of the markup leads to a decrease in the CPI-inflation rate. However, if inflation is …

central bank transparency. Monetary policy can deviate from active inflation stabilization and agents conduct Bayesian … welfare declines. Announcing the future policy course raises uncertainty in the short run by revealing that active inflation …

This paper analyzes the time-varying credibility of the Fed's inflation target in an empirical macro model with … asymmetric information, where the public has to learn about the actual inflation target from the Fed's interest rate policy. To …-term inflation expectations of professionals with the perceived inflation target. …

In this paper we model monthly UK inflation and find that there is some small but significant autocorrelation …, particularly at 12 months. We find that this autocorrelation in monthly inflation leads to significant persistence in the headline … annual inflation figure. A one-off shock to monthly inflation will have an effect on the headline figure equal to 10% of the …

Understanding the sources of inflation persistence is crucial for monetary policy. This paper provides an empirical … assessment of the influence of inflation expectations' anchoring on the persistence of inflation. We construct a novel index of … inflation expectations' anchoring using survey-based inflation forecasts for 45 economies starting in 1989. We then study the …