Showing 1 - 10 of 57
This paper shows how the combined endogenous reaction of banks and investment funds to an exogenous shock can amplify or dampen losses to the financial system compared to results from single-sector stress testing models. We build a new model of contagion propagation using a very large and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012603035
Overlapping portfolios constitute a well-recognised source of risk, providing a channel for financial contagion induced by the market price impact of asset deleveraging. We introduce a novel method to assess the market price impact on a security-by-security basis from historical daily traded...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013329388
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012130550
One important source of systemic risk can arise from asset commonality among financial institutions. This indirect interconnection may occur when financial institutions invest in similar or correlated assets and it is also described as overlapping portfolios. In this paper, we propose a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373564
This paper provides an overview of stress-testing methodologies in Europe, with a focus on the advancements made by the European Central Bank's Financial Stability Committee Working Group on Stress Testing (WGST). Over a four-year period, the WGST played a pivotal role in refining stress-testing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014530302
This paper presents a model for stress testing investment funds, based on a broad worldwide sample of primary open-end equity and bond funds. First, we employ a Bayesian technique to project the impact of macro-financial scenarios on country-level portfolio flows worldwide that are constructed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115765
This paper develops a framework for the short-term modelling of market risk and shock propagation in the investment funds sector, including bi-layer contagion effects through funds' cross-holdings and overlapping exposures. Our work tackles in particular climate risk, with a first-of-its-kind...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013484885
This paper documents the extension of the system-wide stress testing framework of the ECB with the insurance sector for a more thorough assessment of risks to financial stability. The special nature of insurers is captured by the modelling of the liability side and its loss absorbing capacity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015179762
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012693925
Systemic risk in the banking sector is usually associated with long periods of economic downturn and very large social costs. On one hand, shocks coming from correlated exposures towards the real economy may induce correlation in banks' default probabilities thereby increasing the likelihood for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012390494