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Die vorliegende Dissertation befasst sich mit probabilistischen Prognosen, die seit einigen Jahren ein aktives ökonometrisches Forschungsgebiet darstellen. Da solche Prognosen eine vollständige Verteilung für die interessierende Zufallsvariable angeben, beinhalten sie Information über...
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correlation, the multivariate model tends to produce forecasts of tail risk which are lower than the realized tail risk, under the … ; volatility asymmetry ; mixed frequency model ; conditional correlation ; risk evaluation … matrix approximates the true latent covariance, a model that uses high frequency information for the correlation is more …
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Dynamic correlation, Exogenous variables, DCCX, Macroeconomic Announcements, Diversification benefits. - In this … several datasets. I find that conditional correlations between stocks and bonds increase as risk aversion rises even when …
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