Exploiting the natural experiment of the German reunification, we examine how consumers adapt to a new environment in their macroeconomic forecasting. We document that East Germans expect higher inflation and make larger forecast errors than West Germans even decades after reunification....

We use surveys of German households and firms to study the extent of information frictions among different groups of economic agents. Firms' expectations about the central bank policy rate, inflation, and aggregate unemployment are more aligned with expert forecasts and less dispersed than...

Spatial Filter for spatial autoregressive models like the spatial Durbin Model have seen a great interest in the recent literature. Pace et al. (2011) show that the spatial filtering methods developed by Griffith (2000) have desireable estimation properties for some parameters associated with...