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availability of liquidity. Following a shock materialization, a sequential flow adjustment process sets in. While the market …
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We estimate a logit mixture vector autoregressive model describing monetary policy transmission in the euro area over the period 2003Q1-2019Q4 with a special emphasis on credit conditions. With the help of this model, monetary policy transmission can be described as mixture of two states (e.g.,...
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This work investigates effects of conventional monetary policy and central bank information shocks from monetary policy announcements on the U.S. economy. We identify the surprises caused by changes in target rate and central bank’s private information embedded in high frequency exchange rate...
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Incorporating arbitrage-free term-structure dynamics into a semi-structural macro-model, we jointly estimate the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation, and term premia for the United States and the euro area, using a Bayesian approach. The natural real rate and trend inflation are...
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commiting to keep interest rates low at the exit of the liquidity trap, to stabilize inflation today. 2. From debt … interest rates. Liquidity trap (LT) episodes are longer, however, the impact of interest rate policy commitments on inflation … positive at the onset of the episode, through promising higher inflation rates in future periods. We embed our theory into a …
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