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, resulting in a bifurcation of the equilibrium. Market resilience declines under higher volatility, including a potential market … freeze. A change in the volatility of reserve flows, which is more likely when central banks tighten monetary policy, may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012296413
-country interdependence of output volatility has evolved over the period 1955 to 2006. From a methodological perspective, we adopt a spatial … econometric approach, relating a country's output volatility to (distance weighted averages of) other countries' output volatility … results for the most recent period suggest that a uniform shock to output volatility in the world economy roughly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518032
This paper investigates the relationship between volatility and economic growth in the European regions over the period … allow us to incorporate into the analysis the relevance of spatial effects in the processes of regional growth in Europe … business cycle and regional growth, which is mainly consequence of the spatial spillovers induced by the incidence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674572
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011532205
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011981467
Cholesky multivariate stochastic volatility model. It establishes that systematically different dynamic restrictions are … divergent when volatility clusters idiosyncratically. It is illustrated that this property is important for empirical … multivariate stochastic volatility model is proposed as a robust alternative. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424283
There is a general acceptance of the fact that a significant direct relationship between financial markets and macroeconomic variables exists, especially by considering the assertion that developed financial markets correspond to high GDP levels. This paper provides an investigation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011480254
This paper assesses the role of financial variables in real economic fluctuations, in view of analysing the link between financial cycles and business cycles at the global level. A Global VAR modelling approach, which has been proved suitable for modelling country or regional linkages, is used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476350
During the last years, gravity equations have leapt from the trade literature over into the literature on financial markets. Martin and Rey (2004) were the first to provide a theoretical model for cross-border asset trade, yielding a structural gravity equation that could be tested empirically....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011536009
Central bank announcements have strong effects on interest rates, but small or even counterintuitive effects on economic expectations. Based on tick-by-tick futures prices on bonds and stock prices, I confirm these seemingly puzzling results for the euro area and provide evidence that they are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265893