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inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint …, we show that an inflation bias as well as a deflationary bias exist as a steady-state outcome. We assess the predictions … of this model using unique individual-level inflation expectations data across nine countries that allow for a direct …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012317310
across the sample. Evidence in favour of a diminishing effect of oil price shocks on the output and inflation is found from … in the last part of the 1990s and, especially, for the CPI inflation in the 2000s. The most outstanding result is that … the oil price movements could explain at least some of the recent inflation, the main difference between these outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011575575
commiting to keep interest rates low at the exit of the liquidity trap, to stabilize inflation today. 2. From debt … consolidated budget) monetary policy becomes subservient to fiscal policy, giving rise to more volatile inflation, output and … interest rates. Liquidity trap (LT) episodes are longer, however, the impact of interest rate policy commitments on inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304687
We explain the role of the Phillips Curve at the ECB in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012435565
We estimate the effects of monetary policy on price-setting behavior in administrative micro data underlying the German producer price index. After expansionary monetary policy, the increase in the frequency of price change is economically small, the average absolute size across all price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421507
underlying macroeconomic consensus is that inflation rates of 2% are consistent with a stable rise of economic growth. While most … not an outcome of inflation targeting. The paper firstly revises the theoretical background of inflation targeting and … is presented, which critically discusses the necessary framework under which tools of inflation targeting might work to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012195547
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596663
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014309760
This paper focuses on the empirically observed relationship between demographic change and inflation and explores the … demographic change and inflation dynamics. We are the first to formally disentangle the two components of demographic change …: population size and structure, and determine how they separately affect inflation. We find that changes in population size are a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265487
published data. The underlying effect rests on overstated inflation estimates due to imputed prices for disappearing goods and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012437529