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This paper puts forward a Bayesian version of the global vector autoregressive model (B-GVAR) that accommodates international linkages across countries in a system of vec-tor autoregressions. We compare the predictive performance of B-GVAR models for the one- and four-quarter ahead forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505823
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One of grand challenges which are faced by Russia today is to deregulate its gas market while favouring longer-term growth of economy. Since the 1990s, several proposals for structural reforms of Russian gas industry have been intensively debated, including the split-up of Gazprom. From the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011487784
The present paper describes the construction and first empirical application of the SUSTRUS model (the name of the model refers to "Sustainable Russia"). This model will be the main result of the same-named EU funded project. The SUSTRUS model belongs to the group of regional CGE models, applied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011529526
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We propose a general model of monopolistic competition, which encompasses existing models while being flexible enough to take into account new demand and competition features. Using the concept of Frechet differentiability, we determine a general demand system. The basic tool we use to study the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011488249
The purpose of the presentation is to analyze the labor market effects of a congestion charge when commuters have continuously distributed value of time. Since a congestion charge raises the cost of commuting to work, it can decrease employment at the extensive margin in a similar way as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563808
The present paper studies the modelling of inter-regional trade flows in the newly developed general equilibrium model of European Commission, Rhomolo. In contrast to international trade, usually, trade of goods and services between regions is not recorded statistically. As a result, no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012172841
This paper analyzes socially responsible investment in the Walrasian model with uncertainty. It proves the following neutrality result: if each consumer's utility function with social responsibility is a function of her utility without social responsibility and asset holdings and if financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012267593
The growing popularity of fintechs has led the Financial Stability Board (FSB) to publish considerations about the effects of this emerging industry on stability and efficiency in the financial sector. Against this background, this paper compares the effects of competition and collaboration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012419125