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The rare disaster hypothesis suggests that the extraordinarily high postwar U.S. equity premium resulted because investors ex ante demanded compensations for unlikely but calamitous risks that they happened not to incur. While convincing in theory, empirical tests of the rare disaster...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491152
The long-run consumption risk (LRR) model is a convincing approach towards resolving prominent asset pricing puzzles. Whilst the simulated method of moments (SMM) provides a natural framework to estimate its deep parameters, caveats concern model solubility and weak identification. We propose a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490550
We consider fundamental questions of arbitrage pricing arising when the uncertainty model incorporates volatility … uncertainty. With a standard probabilistic model, essential equivalence between the absence of arbitrage and the existence of an … martingale measure sets, in a dynamic trading framework under absence of prior depending arbitrage. We prove the existence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338399
We document the empirical fact that asset prices in the consumption-goods and investment-goods sector behave almost identically in the US economy. In order to derive the cyclical behavior of the equity returns in these two sectors, we onsider a standard two-sector real-business cycle model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482490
This paper shows that the consumption-based asset pricing model (C-CAPM) with low-probability disaster risk rationalizes large pricing errors, i.e., Euler equation errors. This result is remarkable, since Lettau and Ludvigson (2009) show that leading asset pricing models cannot explain sizeable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338284
This paper provides an explanation why garbage as a measure of consumption implies a several times lower coefficient of relative risk aversion in the consumption-based asset pricing model than consumption based on the official National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA): Unlike garbage, NIPA...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486748
We analyze the theoretical moments of a nonlinear approximation to real business cycle model with stochastic volatility and recursive preferences. We find that the conditional heteroskedasticity of stochastic volatility operationalizes a time-varying risk adjustment channel that induces...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010487749
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