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In this paper we use the frequency domain Granger causality test of Breitung/Candelon (2006) to analyse short and long-run causality between energy prices and prices of food commodities. We find that the oil price Granger causes all the considered food prices. However, when controlling for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341671
The detection of business-cycle turning points is usually performed with non-linear discrete-regime models such as binary dependent variable (e.g., probit or logit) or Markov-switching methods. The probit model has the drawback that the continuous underlying target variable is discretized, with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344635
The slow recovery following the 2008/2009 recession has led to renewed interest in the question whether deep recessions lower real GDP permanently or whether we can expect a rebound to earlier trend levels. Using a recent quantile autoregression unit root test we check whether shocks to real GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340611
This book discusses recent developments in theoretical and empirical business cycle analysis, identifying possible applications of sophisticated tools by private and public institutions involved in the analysis of economic fluctuations and facilitating interaction between academics, researchers...
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The cointegration revolution has had a substantial impact on applied analysis. The methods for conducting this analysis are sketched out, reminding the reader of the ideas underlying them and giving sufficient background for empirical work. The treatment can be used as a textbook for courses on...
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This paper aims at formulating econometric tools for investigating stochastic rationality, using the Random Utility Models (RUM) to deal with unobserved heterogeneity nonparametrically. Theoretical implications of the RUM have been studied in the literature, and in particular this paper utilizes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010342819
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