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media coverage of economic news in Germany, we find that a higher volume of economy-wide news indeed signifi cantly … of sectoral output comovement. Although firms tend to be more susceptible to bad news, the tone of media coverage only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484401
information that provides a coding service is the mass media. This paper investigates empirically whether the news media have an … macroeconomic news rises. Second, the news media act as an amplifi er of actual economic developments. Third, business expectations … react stronger to negative than to positive news. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338394
This paper examines the effects of expansionary technology shocks (shocks that increase labor productivity and factor inputs) as opposed to contractionary technology shocks (shocks that increase labor productivity, but decrease factor inputs). We estimate these two shocks jointly based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010336790
We show that TFP reacts counter-cyclically to macroeconomic shocks, which we identify by imposing sign restrictions. Counterfactual simulations, based on a New Keynesian DSGE model, show that firms manage to employ labor more efficiently during downturns, which leads to a muted drop in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010489298
The detection of business-cycle turning points is usually performed with non-linear discrete-regime models such as binary dependent variable (e.g., probit or logit) or Markov-switching methods. The probit model has the drawback that the continuous underlying target variable is discretized, with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344635
This paper analyzes the effects of short-time work (i.e., government subsidized working time reductions) on unemployment and output fluctuations. The central question is whether short-time work saves jobs in recessions. In our baseline scenario the rule based component of short-time work (i.e.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344643
Theoretical models of downward real wage rigidity generate asymmetric wage cyclicality with real wages being rigid in "bad" times but upwardly flexible during "good". In this paper we use an administrative panel dataset from Germany to establish that such asymmetries are very salient in Germany....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490623
We study the relationship between cyclical job and worker flows at the plant level using a new data set spanning from 1976-2006. We find that procyclical labor demand explains relatively little of procyclical worker flows. Instead, all plants in the employment growth distribution increase their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340557
We study strategic communication between a Sender and Receiver who are both uncertain about their preferred actions. The Sender observes noisy signals about both players' ideal policies and then communicates with the Receiver. Even though Sender and Receiver disagree about ideal policies as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482440
Does the mere presence of big banks affect macroeconomic outcomes? Gabaix (2011) shows that idosyncratic shocks can have aggregate effects if the distribution of firm sizes in manufacturing follows a power law distribution. Our contribution is two-fold. First, we expand the theory of granularity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010336792