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the price level to a temporary risk shock are permanent. Our theoretical discussion shows that adopting a credible long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340556
Apart from a priori assumptions on instantaneous or long run effects of structural shocks, sign restrictions have become a prominent means for structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) analysis. Moreover, second order heterogeneity of systems of times series can be fruitfully exploited for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482469
This paper uses panel vector autoregressive models and simulations of an estimated DSGE model to explore the reaction of Euro area banks to the global financial crisis. We focus on their interest rate setting behavior in response to standard macroeconomic shocks. Our main empirical finding is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338974
-run restrictions on a VAR model to disentangle the effects of both shocks. We find that optimism shocks - in line with theory - reduce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010342128
volatility process of the innovations of the panel time series into account. Nonstationarity volatility arises for instance when … unit roots that is, unlike many previously suggested tests, robust to such volatility processes. The panel test is based on … Tests for Models with Non-Stationary Volatility"]. The panel test is robust to general patterns of cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343777
Recent theoretical developments in exchange rate economics have led to important new insights into the functioning of the foreign exchange market. The simple models of the 1970s, which could not withstand empirical evaluation, have been succeeded by more complex models that draw on theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013481744
We integrate systemic financial instability in an empirical macroeconomic model for the euro area. We find that at times of widespread financial instability the macroeconomy functions fundamentally differently from tranquil times. We employ a richly specified Markov-Switching...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010336276
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013434490
estimation of the different models, respectively. We find that overall the large Bayesian VAR provides the most precise forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010489849
regime in the Euro Area have been increasing in the course of the last six quarters of the estimation sample; moreover, money …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490648