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This paper proposes a latent dynamic factor model for low- as well as high-dimensional realized covariance matrices of stock returns. The approach is based on the matrix logarithm and allows for flexible dynamic dependence patterns by combining common latent factors driven by HAR dynamics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341025
In the academic literature, the economic interpretation of stock market volatility is inherently ambivalent, being … volatility-dependent cross-market spillovers. If higher volatility in one market leads to higher (lower) reactions in another … market, volatility reflects information (uncertainty). We introduce a simultaneous time-varying coefficient model, where …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339937
plausible size, and the estimation precision is much higher than in previous studies that use the canonical CBM. A comparable … combination of plausibility and estimation precision has not been delivered in the related literature. Our results thus provide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491152
The 27th SUERF Colloquium in Munich in June 2008: New Trends in Asset Management: Exploring the Implications was already topical in the Summer of 2008. The subsequent dramatic events in the Autumn of 2008 made the presentations in Munich even more relevant to investors and bankers that want to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011705329
This paper sheds new light on the impact of information risk and market stress on herding of institutional traders from both, a theoretical and an empirical perspective. Using numerical simulations of a herd model, we show that buy and sell herding intensity should increase with information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343757
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000968945
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008760187
This paper examines if overreaction of oil price forecasters is affected by uncertainty. Furthermore, it takes into account joint effects of uncertainty and oil price returns on forecast changes. The panel smooth transition regression model from Gonz alez et al. (2005) is applied with univariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010480543
We document the empirical fact that asset prices in the consumption-goods and investment-goods sector behave almost identically in the US economy. In order to derive the cyclical behavior of the equity returns in these two sectors, we onsider a standard two-sector real-business cycle model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482490
Die Beiträge des Bandes befassen sich mit den Mechanismen der Preisbildung auf den Finanz- und Devisenmärkten. Besonderes Interesse gilt der Rolle von Spekulation und Arbitrage und der sich daraus ergebenden Volatilität der Finanzmarktpreise. -- Der Beitrag von E. W. Streissler hat die...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401983