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In the academic literature, the economic interpretation of stock market volatility is inherently ambivalent, being … volatility-dependent cross-market spillovers. If higher volatility in one market leads to higher (lower) reactions in another … market, volatility reflects information (uncertainty). We introduce a simultaneous time-varying coefficient model, where …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339937
This paper proposes a latent dynamic factor model for low- as well as high-dimensional realized covariance matrices of stock returns. The approach is based on the matrix logarithm and allows for flexible dynamic dependence patterns by combining common latent factors driven by HAR dynamics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341025
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In this paper, we show that large inflows into commodity investments, a recent phenomenon known as financialization, has changed the behavior and dependence structure between commodities and the general stock market. The common perception is that the increase in comovements is the result of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339396
This paper analyzes volatility spillovers in multivariate GARCH-type models. We show that the cross-effects between the … conditional variances determine the persistence of the transmitted volatility innovations. In particular, the influence of a … foreign volatility innovation on a conditional variance is even more persistent than an own innovation unless this effect is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341118
We analyze stock market reactions to announcements of political appointments from the private sector and corporate appointments of former government officials. Using unique data on corporate affiliations and announcements of all Senate-confirmed U.S. Defense Department appointees of six...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490694
Countries -- Chapter 2. Climate Risk and the Volatility of Agricultural Commodity Price Fluctuations: A Forecasting Experiment … levels of volatility. This volatility is too strong to be fully justified simply by changes in fundamentals. This volume … recent years, especially during the ongoing coronavirus pandemic that has changed the common perception of the way financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014248040
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