Population ageing is the 21st century's dominant demographic phenomenon. Declining fertility, increasing longevity, and the progression of large-sized cohorts to the older ages are causing elder shares to rise throughout the world. The phenomenon of population ageing, which is unprecedented in...

Yes, partly. This paper studies the potential role of structural reforms in improving Japan's outlook using the IMF's Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model (GIMF) with newly-added demographic features. Implementation of a not-fully-believed path of structural reforms can significantly...

This paper develops a large-scale, dynamic life-cycle model to simulate Russia's demographic and fiscal transition under favorable and unfavorable fossil-fuel price regimes. The model includes Russia, the U.S., China, India, the EU, and Japan+ (Japan plus Korea). The model predicts dramatic...

Transformationsprozesse bringen Probleme wie Arbeitslosigkeit und Veränderungen in der Demografie mit sich. Dies hat sich sehr stark in den letzten fünfundzwanzig Jahren in Ostdeutschland gezeigt. In Bundesländern wie Thüringen und Sachsen zeigen sich die Probleme und Widersprüche der...