This paper analyzes recent macroeconomic developments in the eurozone, particularly in Germany. Several economic indicators are sending signals of a looming German recession. Geopolitical tensions caused by trade disputes between the United States and China, plus the risk of a disorderly Brexit,...

Angela Merkel is the second-longest-serving chancellor of modern Germany, with more than 16 years in office. During her tenure there were many years of economic stability, but there were also years of domestic, EU, and geopolitical tensions. Merkel inherited an economy that was recovering after...

This paper examines the effect of financial frictions on the consumption of durables and non-durables in a two-sector dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with sticky prices and heterogeneous agents. The financial frictions are a combination of loanto- value (LTV) and...