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Households' and firms' subjective inflation expectations play a central role in macroeconomic and intertemporal microeconomic models. We discuss how subjective inflation expectations are measured, the patterns they display, their determinants, and how they shape households' and firms' economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013271201
ascribed to the specific int eraction of consumption and portfolio choice in the determination of growth and welfare. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526591
two-period consumption and savings model for a loss-averse agent who measures utilityfrom consumption relative to a … of the return on saving. We find non-linearity in the fractionof wealth saved, where the specific saving pattern depends … on the sign of the real return on savings. The amount of saving is nondecreasing in initial wealth and the riskiness of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317449
uncertainty can delay investment and reduce the response to policy change. I provide theoretical and novel quantitative evidence … for these effects by focusing on trade policy, a ubiquitous but often overlooked source of uncertainty, when a firm's cost … market access, little theoretical and empirical work analyzes the value of WTO institutions for reducing uncertainty for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009413430
consumption choice as well as on economic growth is ambiguous as it affects the mean as well as the variance of disposable income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011525893
In this paper the impacts of income and consumption taxes are analyzed within a model of stochastic endogenous growth … with congestion. It is shown that the optimal amount of governmental input diminishes with uncertainty and that the optimal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526036
uncertainty into Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs). Uncertainty is transformed into a risk-premium, damage-correction, region …. This risk premium quantifies what society would be willing to pay to insure against the uncertainty of the damages, and it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451668
This paper focuses on belief distortion in the context of lying decisions. We employ a twostage variant of the "dice under the cup" paradigm, in which subjects' beliefs are elicited in stage 1 before performing the dice task in stage 2. In stage 1, we elicit the subjects' beliefs about (i)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012058620
oligopoly characterized by a homogeneous non-storable good, sticky prices and uncertainty. Our model nests the classical dynamic …-time limit of our model with no uncertainty and no risk-aversion. Focusing on the continuous-time limit of the infinite horizon … inversely related to the degrees of uncertainty and risk-aversion. However, the effect of uncertainty and risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011980689
Poor people have, on average, a higher marginal propensity to consume. One (out of many) possible explanations for this is that poverty affects impatience. This would have important implications for monetary and fiscal policy. While some macroeconomists simply assume lower individual discount...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206628