Using data on international, on-line media coverage and tone of the Brexit referendum, we test whether it is media coverage or tone to provide the largest forecasting performance improvements in the prediction of the conditional variance of weekly FTSE 100 stock returns. We find that versions of...

A large literature on intergenerational mobility focuses on the conditional mean of children's economic outcomes to understand the role of family background, but ignores the information contained in conditional variance. Using exceptionally rich data free of coresidency bias, we provide evidence...

In this paper, we propose a kernel-type estimator for the local characteristic function of locally stationary processes. Under weak moment conditions, we prove joint asymptotic normality for local empirical characteristic functions. For time-varying linear processes, we establish a central limit...