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Heidhues, Paul; Kőszegi, Botond; Strack, Philipp - 2024

We develop a model in which an overconfident agent learns about groups in society from observations of his and others' successes. In our model, both the agent's information and his beliefs are multi-dimensional, allowing us to study interactions between different views. Overall, society always...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014578270

Gender, overconfidence, and optimal group composition for investment decisions

Renerte, Baiba; Hausfeld, Jan; Twardawski, Torsten - 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404320

Individual differences in overconfidence and their psychological bases

Lawson, M. Asher; Larrick, Richard P.; Soll, Jack B. - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015397176

Persistent overconfidence and biased memory : evidence from managers

Huffman, David; Raymond, Collin; Shvets, Julia - 2023

A long-standing puzzle is how overconfidence can persist in settings characterized by repeated feedback. This paper studies managers who participate repeatedly in a high-powered tournament incentive system, learning relative performance each time. Using reduced form and structural methods we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014311540

Is underconfidence favored over overconfidence? : an experiment on the perception of a biased self-assessment

Thoma, Carmen - 2013

This paper reports findings of a laboratory experiment, which explores how elfassessment regarding the own relative performance is perceived by others. In particular, I investigate whether overconfident subjects or underconfident subjects are considered as more likable by others, and who of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010350220

It's a sure win! : experimental evidence on overconfidence in betting behavior

Chegere, Martin; Falco, Paolo; Nieddu, Marco G.; … - 2022

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226821

Are entrepreneurs more optimistic and overconfident than managers and employees?

Koudstaal, Martin; Sloof, Randolph; Praag, Mirjam van - 2015

Empirical evidence supports the conventional wisdom that entrepreneurs are more optimistic and overconfident than others. However, the same holds true for top managers. In this lab-in-the-field experiment we directly compare the scores of entrepreneurs, managers and employees on a comprehensive...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378220

Ambiguity and overconfidence

Brenner, Menachem; Izhakian, Yehuda; Sade, Orly - 2011

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009501936

Self-confidence and strategic behavior

Charness, Gary; Rustichini, Aldo; Ven, Jeroen van de - 2013

We test experimentally an explanation of over and under confidence as motivated by (perhaps unconscious) strategic … others ́statements of confidence about how well they have scored on an IQ test. In two-player tournaments where the highest … score wins, one is likely to enter at equilibrium when he knows that his stated confidence is higher than the other playerś …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010223063

Self-confidence and strategic deterrence

Charness, Gary; Rustichini, Aldo; Ven, Jeroen van de - 2011

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191082