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model and a stochastic volatility factor model, it is possible to estimate reliable uncertainty measures and describe their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013540621
We build a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility and use it to decompose the … common global uncertainty plays a primary role in explaining the volatility of inflation, interest rates and stock prices …, although to a varying extent over time. Region-specific uncertainty drives most of the exchange rate volatility for all Euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856363
We develop a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility, estimate it with several … findings, the estimates suggest that global uncertainty plays a primary role in explaining the volatility of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011904508
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012194110
We investigate how a macroeconomic uncertainty shock affects the labor market. We focus on the uncertainty transmission mechanism, for which we employ a set of worker flow indicators in addition to labor stock variables. We incorporate common factors from such indicators into a framework that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030061
We use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time-varying variance of Macro economic and Financial … component plays an important role in driving the time-varying volatility of nominal and financial variables. The cross …-country co-movement in volatility of real and financial variables has increased over time with the common component becoming more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306276
This paper extends the procedure developed by Jurado et al. (2015) to allow the estimation of measures of uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895010
develop an extended Factor Augmented VAR model that simultaneously allows the estimation of a measure of uncertainty and its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472799
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014526328
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012224674