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This paper proposes a new class of multivariate volatility model that utilising high-frequency data. We call this model … realized correlations in the DCC-HEAVY model. The new model removes well known asymptotic bias in DCC-GARCH model estimation … and has more desirable asymptotic properties. We also derive a Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation and provide closed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009351
We introduce a new fractionally integrated model for covariance matrix dynamics based on the long-memory behavior of daily realized covariance matrix kernels and daily return observations. We account for fat tails in both types of data by appropriate distributional assumptions. The covariance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011531139
forecasting, the authors propose a new factor multivariate stochastic volatility (fMSV) model for realized covariance measures … correlation MSV model, the conditional/stochastic Wishart autoregressive models, the matrix-exponential MSV model, and the … outperform existing dynamic conditional correlation models for forecasting future covariances. Among the new fMSV models, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259630
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013264907
components and the mixed-sign component load differently on economic information concerning stochastic correlation and jumps. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012116691
models. We show that HF-based predictions yield a significantly lower portfolio volatility than methods employing daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009714536
The increased availability of high-frequency data provides new tools for forecasting of variances and covariances between assets. However, recent realized (co)variance models may suffer from a 'curse of dimensionality' problem similar to that of multivariate GARCH specifications. As a result,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407673
the variance matrix. Monte Carlo evidence for parameter estimation based on different small sample sizes is provided. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520881
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225306
allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a … provide a statistical approach to estimate the volatility of these factors. The efficacy of this approach relative to the use … of models based on squared returns is demonstrated for forecasts of the market volatility and a portfolio allocation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860248