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. By contrast, the exogenous spending shock from gov- ernment and net exports, the monetary policy shock and the goods …-sector cost/productivity shock, all in turn most likely connected to world business cycle shocks (especially the global financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230065
How do aggregate quantities at the business cycle frequency respond to shocks to the spread between residential mortgage rates and government bonds? Using a structural VAR approach, we find that mortgage spread shocks impact the real economy by both economically and statistically significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202977
In this paper, we propose a DSGE model with the term structure of interest rates drawing on the framework introduced by Andrés et al. (2004) and Marzo et al. (2008). In particular, we reproduce segmentation in financial markets by introducing bonds of different maturities and bond adjustment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731368
We analyze an estimated stochastic general equilibrium model that replicates key macroeconomic and fi nancial stylized facts during the Great Moderation of 1983-2007. Our model predicts a sizeable and volatile nominal term premium - comparable to recent reduced-form empirical estimates - with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011694843
We analyze an estimated stochastic general equilibrium model that replicates key macroeconomic and financial stylized facts during the Great Moderation of 1983-2007. Our model predicts a sizeable and volatile nominal term premium - comparable to recent reduced-form empirical estimates - with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011740263
The term structure of interest rates is crucial for the transmission of monetary policy to financial markets and the macroeconomy. Disentangling the impact of monetary policy on the components of interest rates, expected short rates and term premia, is essential to under- standing this channel....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012133185
sector. Shock decompositions suggest a positive contribution of ECB QE to annual euro area output growth and inflation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011804879
We study business cycles with cyclical returns to scale. Contrary to tightly parameterized production functions (Cobb-Douglas and Constant Elasticity of Substitution), we empirically identify strong input complementarity that leads to procyclical returns to scale. We therefore propose a flexible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013260122
economy. A positive credit shock, defined as a rise in the loan-to-deposit ratio, increases output, consumption, hours and … productivity, and reduces the spread between loan and deposit rates. The effects of the credit shock tend to be highly persistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009751689
This paper investigates in a non-linear setting the impact on the real economy of frictions stemming from the financial sector. We develop a medium scale DSGE model with a banking sector where an occasionally binding constraint on banks' capital induces a relevant non-linearity. The model -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976236