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Conventional financial theory considers ex-ante that risk, generally measured by the volatility, has to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011757486
which depending on the market states signaled by the level of volatility spread. We have documented that effectively, there … capital. We then propose the volatility spread as the active management factor into the Carhart's model used to evaluate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012146691
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011905061
hedge funds and swap dealers relate to volatility and price changes. Examining various subperiods where price trends are … discovery by trading with contemporaneous returns while serving to reduce volatility. Swap dealer activity, however, is largely … unrelated to both contemporaneous returns and volatility. Our evidence is consistent with the hypothesis that hedge funds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408618
liquid instrument suffers from liquidity shocks that induce periods of increased volatility and significant return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523414
We study measures of foreign exchange rate volatility based on high-frequency (5-minute) $/DM exchange rate returns … using recent nonparametric statistical techniques to compute realized return volatility and its separate continuous sample … implied volatility. We find that implied volatility is an informationally efficient but biased forecast of future realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003795291
realized volatility. The jump component has very different time series properties than the continuous component, and accounting … for this allows improved forecasting of future realized volatility. We investigate the potential forecasting role of … implied volatility backed out from option prices in the presence of these new separate realized volatility components. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003795292
We develop a discrete-time affine stochastic volatility model with time-varying conditional skewness (SVS). Importantly …, we disentangle the dynamics of conditional volatility and conditional skewness in a coherent way. Our approach allows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009309462
A rapidly growing literature has documented important improvements in volatility measurement and forecasting … provides a practical framework for non-parametrically measuring the jump component in realized volatility measurements … an easy-to-implement reduced form model for realized volatility results in highly significant jump coefficient estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764770
This study reconsiders the role of jumps for volatility forecasting by showing that jumps have a positive and mostly … significant impact on future volatility. This result becomes apparent once volatility is separated into its continuous and … yields) shows that the proposed techniques improve significantly the accuracy of volatility forecasts especially in periods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008729093