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Towards a general theory of the stock market
Fender, John - 2016
Although there are many stock market anomalies which the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) finds difficult to explain, it also has its strengths, and so far no alternative hypothesis has been developed which can explain what the EMH explains but which can also do a better job in explaining the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012010417
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The Souk Al-Manakh: the anatomy of a pure price-chasing bubble
Veneroso, Frank; Pasquali, Mark - 2021
, drawn from a book in progress, examines the history of stock markets for comparable pure price-chasing bubbles, finding nine … way down - of these greatest asset bubbles in human history. When one applies this framework to the current US stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496514
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Dissection of Bitcoin's multiscale bubble history : from January 2012 to February 2018
Gerlach, Jan-Christian; Demos, Guilherme; Sornette, Didier - 2018
the dynamics of Bitcoin price during the analyzed time period. We explain this classification of long and short bubbles by … over this period. Then, a detailed analysis of the growing risks associated with the three long bubbles using the Log … bubbles and the four short bubbles that our time scale of analysis was able to resolve. Overall, our predictive scheme …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899669
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Behavioral heterogeneity in stock prices
Boswijk, Herman Peter; Hommes, Cars H.; Manzan, Sebastiano - 2005
We estimate a dynamic asset pricing model characterized by heterogeneous boundedly rational agents. The fundamental value of the risky asset is publicly available to all agents, but they have different beliefs about the persistence of deviations of stock prices from the fundamental benchmark. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343265
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Towards a general theory of the stock market
Fender, John - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389962
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An investigation into multivariate variance ratio statistics and their application to stock market predictability
Hong, Seok Young; Linton, Oliver; Zhang, Hui Jun - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011455529
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An investigation into multivariate variance ratio statistics and their application to stock market predictability
Hong, Seok Young; Linton, Oliver; Zhang, Hui Jun - 2015
We propose several multivariate variance ratio statistics. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the statistics and scalar functions thereof under the null hypothesis that returns are unpredictable after a constant mean adjustment (i.e., under the weak form Efficient Market Hypothesis). We do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496122
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Can heterogeneous agent models explain the alleged mispricing of the S&P 500?
Lux, Thomas - 2020
Tests of excessive volatility along the lines of Shiller (1981) and Leroy and Porter (1981) count among the most convincing pieces of evidence against the validity of the time-honored efficient market hypothesis. Recently, using Shiller s distinction between ex-ante rational (fundamental) price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214509
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Three essays in financial economics
Zhuk, Sergey - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819381
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Testing the stochastic disorder model on stock markets
Sokko, Anastasiia - 2017
This paper examines real-time applications of quickest disorder detection techniques for timing stock markets. The focus is on the stochastic disorder model by Shiryaev, Zhitlukhin, and Ziemba (2014, 2015), Zhitlukhin and Ziemba (2016) and their optimal stopping rule. The model uses sequential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011875860