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How informative are the unpredictable components of earnings forecasts?

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earnings forecasters, we see that small adjustments to the model forecasts lead to more forecast accuracy. Based on past track …

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Four centuries of return predictability

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Changes in earnings-price ratios and excess returns : a case of investor over-reaction

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Seven pitfalls of technical analysis

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This paper examines the main drawbacks of technical analysis. Although this is widely used by practitioners, from an academic perspective it can only be seen as a form of "voodoo finance". In particular, it runs into the following pitfalls: Subjectivity; Doubtful assumptions; Unjustified...

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Predicting returns and dividend growth : the role of non-Gaussian innovations

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Four centuries of return predictability

Golez, Benjamin; Koudijs, Peter - 2017 - This version: January 30, 2017

/U.K. (1629-1812), U.K. (1813-1870) and U.S. (1871-2015). We show that dividend yields are stationary and consistently forecast … business cycle, with expected returns increasing in recessions. We also find that, except for the period after 1945, dividend … yields predict dividend growth rates …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870101