Forecasting hourly electricity prices and their characteristic properties is a core challenge for energy generation companies and trading houses. The short-term marketing and purchase of electricity is usually managed with standardized products traded on different markets and with specific...

Increasing shares of fluctuating renewable energy, the integration of European electricity grids and markets as well as new technologies induce continuous change in the European energy system. Due to these changes, fundamental electricity system and market models that have been developed and...

We present a stochastic modelling approach to describe the dynamics of hourly electricity prices. The suggested methodology is a stepwise combination of several mathematical operations to adequately characterize the distribution of electricity spot prices. The basic idea is to analyze day-ahead...

In this paper we present an evaluation framework for predictions of binary events in probabilistic electricity price forecasting. It employs the MSE-equivalent QPS together with the DM test and allows for further insights about deficiencies of the considered models. Additionally, techniques from...

Due to the call for further integration of European markets and the targeted climate goals, both European electricity systems and markets have undergone continuous changes over the last few decades. As part of these developments, the so-called Flow-Based Market Coupling (FBMC) superseded the...

Strongly increasing costs of congestion management have provoked a discussion in Europe about new approaches to solve grid congestions in a more efficient way. One approach is to design flexibility markets. In this paper we focus on the effects of subsidies for renewable energy on the market...

By interlinking power systems, significant welfare gains can be achieved. However, different approaches for coupling electricity markets exist. A recent development in this field is the implementation of flow-based market coupling (FBMC) in Central Western Europe (CWE). Indeed, FBMC has proven...

Part I of this two-part paper has presented flow-based market coupling (FBMC), the implicit congestion management method used to couple the CentralWestern European (CWE) electricity markets. It has also introduced a large-scale model framework for FBMC assessments, focusing on modeling the...

We assess how the design of retail prices, network charges and levies for household prosumers affect the attractiveness and resulting operation of small-scale photovoltaic battery storage systems (PVBSS), using a detailed modeling approach applied to a case study of six households in Germany....