countries with authoritarian regimes. Moreover, the experts estimate the influence of the media remarkably higher on others than …This article sheds light on the impact of the media on economists' expectations for future economic developments. We … conducted a worldwide economic expert survey and find that the media provides most economists with valuable information that …

experiment among influential economic experts working in more than 100 countries and use the 2020 US presidential election as a … large effects of Joe Biden's election on growth expectations of international experts, working through more positive …

of international experts. We design a large-scale RCT among 843 experts working in 107 countries, asking about their … called US president. Our results show that the election of Joe Biden increased growth expectations of international experts …-run and (ii) experts’ uncertainty increased after the election. Our results suggest that exceptional politicians influence …

forming posteriors with one exception: when assessing the credibility of experts, they "double-dip" the data and use already …

representative of the US population and a sample of more than 1,000 experts, we measure beliefs about how the unemployment rate and … predict changes in unemployment that are largely in line with the experts' responses for all four shocks. However, their … predictions of changes in inflation are at odds with those of experts both for the tax shock and the interest rate shock. We show …

,500 US households and 1,500 experts, beliefs are widely dispersed, even about the directional effects of shocks, and there are … large differences in average beliefs between households and experts. Part of this disagreement seems to arise from selective … recall different propagation channels of the shocks, while experts tend to re-call textbook models. Our findings offer a new …