party leadership on electoral success. Factions are of interest or of principle. The probability of winning an election is …

parties allow like-minded citizens to, first, share the cost of running in a public election and, second, coordinate on a …

the surprise 2016 election of Trump to identify the effects of a shift in political power on one of the most consequential …

achieve two desirable properties: First, the overall election outcome corresponds to the popular vote. Second, most districts …

achieve two desirable properties: First, the overall election outcome corresponds to the popular vote. Second, most districts …

Deutschland (AfD), the major anti-immigrant party in the 2017 German parliamentary election. The classic theory on the political … jobs, housing and public goods. Notably, the vote distribution in the 2017 election suggests that AfD vote shares are … higher in districts with fewer foreign inhabitants. We exploit administrative data on election results and district …

on US elections since 1952. We envision a forecaster who fits a model using data from a given election and uses that … each election will have a 50-50 partisan split. Enriching the set of demographics available does not change this conclusion …

-party election. A more accurate selection may improve the quality of the candidate but detract more resources from the subsequent …

-party election. A more accurate selection may improve the quality of the candidate but detract more resources from the subsequent …